Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/1512
Probabilistic prediction of raw and BMA calibrated AEMET-SREPS: the 24 of January 2009 extreme wind event in Catalunya
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dc.contributor.authorEscribà, Paues_ES
dc.contributor.authorCallado Pallarés, Alfonses_ES
dc.contributor.authorSantos Burguete, Carloses_ES
dc.contributor.authorSantos Muñoz, Danieles_ES
dc.contributor.authorGarcía-Moya, José Antonioes_ES
dc.contributor.authorSimarro Grande, Juan Pabloes_ES
dc.date.accessioned2016-03-30T09:30:13Z-
dc.date.available2016-03-30T09:30:13Z-
dc.date.issued2010-
dc.identifier.citationAdvances in Geosciences. 2010, 26, p. 119-124es_ES
dc.identifier.issn1680-7340-
dc.identifier.issn1680-7359-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/1512-
dc.description.abstractAt 00:00 UTC of 24 January 2009 (24Jan09) an explosive cyclogenesis placed at the Gulf of Vizcaya, reached its maximum intensity with observed surface pressures below 970 hPa on its center. During its path through the south of France there were strong westerly and north-westerly winds over Iberian Peninsula (above 150 km/h). These extreme winds leaved 8 casualties in Catalunya, the north-east region of Spain. The aim of this work is validating the skill of the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) Short Range Ensemble Prediction System (SREPS) in forecasting this event. Two probabilistic forecasts of wind are compared, a non-calibrated (or raw) and a calibrated one using the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA).es_ES
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoenges_ES
dc.publisherEuropean Geosciences Uniones_ES
dc.rightsLicencia CC: Reconocimiento CC BYes_ES
dc.subjectExplosive cyclogenesises_ES
dc.subjectProbabilistic predictiones_ES
dc.subjectShort Range Ensemble Prediction Systemes_ES
dc.titleProbabilistic prediction of raw and BMA calibrated AEMET-SREPS: the 24 of January 2009 extreme wind event in Catalunyaes_ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees_ES
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://dx.doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-26-119-2010es_ES
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesses_ES
Colecciones: Artículos científicos 2010-2014


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