Evaluación del impacto climático en el recurso eólico en la península ibérica

Abstract

The wind resource in the Iberian Peninsula has been analyzed by means of wind climate projections. For this purpose, the SSP5-8.5 scenario of the MRI-ESM2.0 global numerical climate model has been selected. The wind speed and direction variables are seasonally grouped, and, from them, both the electric power production and the wind power intensity have been estimated along the time record, considering two periods: the historical (1950 - 2014) and the future (2015-2100). The latest generation Siemens-Gamesa SG 7.0-170 wind turbine has been used as a reference in the evolution of the electrical power. Among others, the winter results show a future higher electrical production with respect to the selected historical period in almost all the Iberian Peninsula, although there is a decreasing trend in production throughout the century. The rest of the seasonal results indicate a generalized drop in electrical energy due to a decrease in the wind resource throughout the Peninsula throughout the century, especially in autumn.