Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/2214
Calibration and combination of seasonal forecasts over Southern Europe [Póster]
| Title: | Calibration and combination of seasonal forecasts over Southern Europe [Póster] |
| Authors: | Sánchez García, Eroteida
; Voces Aboy, José
; Rodríguez Camino, Ernesto
|
| Keywords: | Predicción; Estacional; Combinación; Verificación; Forecast; Seasonal; Calibration; Verification |
| Issue Date: | 2016 |
| Publisher: | Agencia Estatal de Meteorología |
| Citation: | European Geosciences Union General Assembly (2016) |
| Abstract: | Verification of temperature and precipitation seasonal forecasts from different operational systems over selected regions in Southern Europe is computed based on the available re-forecasts. A comprehensive set of scores and procedures targeted at verification of probabilistic forecasts provides an overview of the skill of current operational models for different seasons, lead times, variables and sub-regions in Southern Europe. The impact of calibration and combination of seasonal re-forecasts based on different setups of a Bayesian scheme has also been studied. The potential of such scheme and their different setups to improve seasonal forecast quality is also discussed. |
| Description: | Póster elaborado para la European Geosciences Union General Assembly celebrada los días 17-22 de abril de 2016 en Viena |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/2214 |
| Appears in Collections: | EGU General Assembly |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Poster_CCPE_EGU2016-A... | 612,16 kB | Adobe PDF |  View/Open |
Items in Arcimis are protected by Creative Commons License, unless otherwise indicated.
