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MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of weather forecast quality in the Alpine Region
Title: MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of weather forecast quality in the Alpine Region
Authors: Rotach, Mathias W.Ambrosetti, PaoloAment, FelixAppenzeller, ChristofArpagaus, MarcoBauer, Hans-StefanBehrendt, AndreasBouttier, FrançoisBuzzi, AndreaCorazza, MatteoDavolio, SilvioDenhard, MichaelDorninger, ManfredFontannaz, LionelFrick, JacquelineFundel, FelixGermann, UrsGorgas, TheresaHegg, ChristophHering, AlessandroKeil, ChristianLiniger, Mark A.Marsigli, ChiaraMcTaggart-Cowan, RonMontaini, AndreaMylne, KenRanzi, RobertoRichard, EvelyneRossa, AndreaSantos Muñoz, DanielAutor AEMETSchaer, ChristophSeity, YannStaudinger, MichaelStoll, MarcoVolkert, HansWalser, AndreWang, YongWerhahn, JohannesWulfmeyer, VolkerZappa, Massimiliano
Keywords: Resolution ensemble prediction; Complex terrain; Mountainous region; Predictability; Precipitation; Simulations
Issue Date: 2009
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Citation: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2009, 90(9), p. 1321-1336
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Abstract: Demonstration of probabilistic hydrological and atmospheric simulation of flood events in the Alpine region (D-PHASE) is made by the Forecast Demonstration Project in connection with the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP). Its focus lies in the end-to-end flood forecasting in a mountainous region such as the Alps and surrounding lower ranges. Its scope ranges from radar observations and atmospheric and hydrological modeling to the decision making by the civil protection agents. More than 30 atmospheric high-resolution deterministic and probabilistic models coupled to some seven hydrological models in various combinations provided real-time online information. This information was available for many different catchments across the Alps over a demonstration period of 6 months in summer/ fall 2007. The Web-based exchange platform additionally contained nowcasting information from various operational services and feedback channels for the forecasters and end users. D-PHASE applications include objective model verification and intercomparison, the assessment of (subjective) end user feedback, and evaluation of the overall gain from the coupling of the various components in the end-to-end forecasting system.
Sponsorship : D-PHASE profited from research contracts in the framework of COST 731, from the Swiss National Centre for Competence in Research Climate (NCCR Climate) as well as from SBF C05.0105. COPS, by the collaboration with which D-PHASE largely profited, was funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG) within the Priority Program 1167.
ISSN: 0003-0007
Appears in Collections:Artículos científicos 2005-2009

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