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Verification of a short-range ensemble precipitation prediction system over Iberia
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dc.contributor.authorSantos Muñoz, Danieles_ES
dc.contributor.authorMartín Pérez, María Luisaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorMorata Gasca, Anaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorValero Rodríguez, Franciscoes_ES
dc.contributor.authorPascual, Álvaroes_ES
dc.identifier.citationAdvances in Geosciences. 2010, 25, p. 55-63es_ES
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of this paper is the verification of a short-range ensemble prediction system (SREPS) built with five different model physical process parameterization schemes and two different initial conditions from global models, allowing to construct several versions of the non-hydrostatic mesoscale MM5 model for a 1-month period of October 2006. From the SREPS, flow-dependent probabilistic forecasts are provided by means of predictive probability distributions over the Iberian Peninsula down to 10-km grid spacing. In order to carry out the verification, 25 km grid of observational precipitation records over Spain from the Spanish Climatic Network has been used to evaluate the ensemble accuracy together with the mean model performance and forecast variability by means of comparisons between such records and the ensemble forecasts.es_ES
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work has been partially supported by the research projects CGL2007-61328/CLI and UE Safewind G. A. No. 213740.es_ES
dc.publisherEuropean Geosciences Uniones_ES
dc.rightsLicencia CC: Reconocimiento CC BYes_ES
dc.subjectEnsemble predictiones_ES
dc.subjectPrecipitation predictiones_ES
dc.titleVerification of a short-range ensemble precipitation prediction system over Iberiaes_ES
Appears in Collections:Artículos científicos 2010-2014

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