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Changes in meteo-hydrological extremes in Spain at different levels of global warming
Title: Changes in meteo-hydrological extremes in Spain at different levels of global warming
Authors: Turco, MarcoCortès Simó, MariaAutor AEMETQuintana Seguí, PereJerez, SoniaLlasat, María del CarmenAlfieri, Lorenzo
Keywords: Extremes; Drought; Precipitation; Streamflow; Regional projections
Issue Date: 2018
Publisher: Asociación Española de Climatología; Agencia Estatal de Meteorología
Citation: Montávez Gómez, Juan Pedro, et al. (eds.). El clima: aire, agua, tierra y fuego. Madrid: Asociación Española de Climatología; Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, 2018, p. 449-458
Series/Report no.: Publicaciones de la Asociación Española de Climatología. Serie A;11
Abstract: This work assesses changes in the extremes of precipitation and streamflow in Spain assuming global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2, and 3 degrees Celsius from pre-industrial levels. We consider an ensemble of seven regional climate model simulations spanning the period 1970-2099 to evaluate precipitation changes and to drive a distributed hydrological model and thus to derive streamflow statistics under present and future climates. The climate simulations were performed under the umbrella of the EURO-CORDEX project, thus covering Europe with a spatial resolution of 0.11 degree both in latitude and longitude, the finest so far in this type of climatological multimodel and multi-scenario experiments. Preliminary results suggest that constraining global warming well below 2°C, as sought in the Paris Agreement, reduces the probability of increasing drought related indices.
Description: Ponencia presentada en: XI Congreso de la Asociación Española de Climatología celebrado en Cartagena entre el 17 y el 19 de octubre de 2018.
Sponsorship : This work has been supported by the Spanish Projects HOPE (CGL2014-52571-R) and M-CostAdapt (CTM2017-83655-C2-2-R) of the Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness, as well as the EFA 210/216 PIRAGUA project financed by the INTERREG V A (POCTEFA) and FEDER.
ISBN: 978-84-7837-098-6
Appears in Collections:(2018, Cartagena). XI Congreso AEC

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