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http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/9925
Changes in meteo-hydrological extremes in Spain at different levels of global warming
Title: | Changes in meteo-hydrological extremes in Spain at different levels of global warming |
Authors: | Turco, Marco; Cortès Simó, Maria![]() |
Keywords: | Extremes; Drought; Precipitation; Streamflow; Regional projections |
Issue Date: | 2018 |
Publisher: | Asociación Española de Climatología; Agencia Estatal de Meteorología |
Citation: | Montávez Gómez, Juan Pedro, et al. (eds.). El clima: aire, agua, tierra y fuego. Madrid: Asociación Española de Climatología; Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, 2018, p. 449-458 |
Series/Report no.: | Publicaciones de la Asociación Española de Climatología. Serie A;11 |
Abstract: | This work assesses changes in the extremes of precipitation and streamflow in Spain assuming global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2, and 3 degrees Celsius from pre-industrial levels. We consider an ensemble of seven regional climate model simulations spanning the period 1970-2099 to evaluate precipitation changes and to drive a distributed hydrological model and thus to derive streamflow statistics under present and future climates. The climate simulations were performed under the umbrella of the EURO-CORDEX project, thus covering Europe with a spatial resolution of 0.11 degree both in latitude and longitude, the finest so far in this type of climatological multimodel and multi-scenario experiments. Preliminary results suggest that constraining global warming well below 2°C, as sought in the Paris Agreement, reduces the probability of increasing drought related indices. |
Description: | Ponencia presentada en: XI Congreso de la Asociación Española de Climatología celebrado en Cartagena entre el 17 y el 19 de octubre de 2018. |
Sponsorship : | This work has been supported by the Spanish Projects HOPE (CGL2014-52571-R) and M-CostAdapt (CTM2017-83655-C2-2-R) of the Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness, as well as the EFA 210/216 PIRAGUA project financed by the INTERREG V A (POCTEFA) and FEDER. |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/9925 |
ISBN: | 978-84-7837-098-6 |
Appears in Collections: | (2018, Cartagena). XI Congreso AEC |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | ||
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![]() | 0041_XI_2018_TURCO.pdf | 87,85 MB | Adobe PDF | ![]() View/Open |
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