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An assessment of observed and simulated temperature variability in Sierra de Guadarrama
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dc.contributor.authorVegas Cañas, Cristinaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorGonzález Rouco, J. Fideles_ES
dc.contributor.authorNavarro, Jorgees_ES
dc.contributor.authorGarcía Bustamante, Elenaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorLucio-Eceiza, Etor E.es_ES
dc.contributor.authorGarcía-Pereira, Félixes_ES
dc.contributor.authorRodríguez Camino, Ernestoes_ES
dc.contributor.authorChazarra, Andréses_ES
dc.contributor.authorÁlvarez Arévalo, Inéses_ES
dc.identifier.citationAtmosphere. 2020, 11(9), 985es_ES
dc.description.abstractThis work provides a first assessment of temperature variability at interannual and decadal timescales in Sierra de Guadarrama, a high mountain protected area of the Central System in the Iberian Peninsula. Observational data from stations located in the area and simulated data from a high-resolution simulation (1 km) with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, fed from ERA Interim reanalysis, are used in order to analyse the temperatura variability in the period 2000–2018. Comparison among all datasets allows evaluation of the realism of the model simulations. The results show that the model tends to underestimate the observational mean temperatures and anomalies at high-altitude stations. A linear mean temperature vertical gradient of −5.81 ◦C/km is observed, but it is overestimated by the model (−6.56 ◦C/km). The variability of the daily temperature anomalies for both observations and, to a lesser extent, simulations increases with height. The added value that the WRF offers against the use of the ERA Interim is evaluated. The results show that the WRF provides a better performance than the reanalysis, as it shows smaller biases with respect to observational temperature anomalies. Finally, the study of temperature trends over the Sierra de Guadarrama and its surroundings for the period 2000–2018 shows a warming in the area, significantly pronounced in autumn. When extended to the last decades, observations show that this warming has been happening since the first half of the 20th century, especially during the period 1970–2018, but not as much as during 2000–2018.es_ES
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research was funded by CEI Moncloa UPM-UCM-Ciemat Cooperation Agreement: GuMNet (Guadarrama Monitoring Network) Initiative, Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación: GreatModelS (RTI2018-102305-B-C21d), Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación: GreatModelS (RTI2018-102305-B-C21d), Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación: ILModels (CGL2014-59644-R/CLI).es_ES
dc.publisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institutees_ES
dc.rightsLicencia CC: Reconocimiento CC BYes_ES
dc.subjectTemperature variabilityes_ES
dc.subjectERA Interimes_ES
dc.subjectMultidecadal warming trendses_ES
dc.titleAn assessment of observed and simulated temperature variability in Sierra de Guadarramaes_ES
Appears in Collections:Artículos científicos 2019-2021

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