Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/13023
Convection indicator for pre-tactical air traffic flow management using neural networks
Title: Convection indicator for pre-tactical air traffic flow management using neural networks
Authors: Jardines, AnielSoler, ManuelCervantes, AlejandroGarcía-Heras, JavierSimarro, Juan Pablo ORCID SCOPUSID Autor AEMET
Keywords: Thunderstorms; Air traffic management; Numerical weather prediction; Satellite images; Machine learning
Issue Date: 2021
Publisher: Elsevier
Citation: Machine Learning with Applications. 2021, 5, 100053
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mlwa.2021.100053
Abstract: Convective weather is a large source of disruption for air traffic management operations. Being able to predict thunderstorms the day before operations can help traffic managers plan around weather and improve air traffic flow management operations. In this paper, machine learning is applied on data from satellite storm observations and ensemble numerical weather prediction products to detect convective weather 36 h in advance. The learning task is formulated as a binary classification problem and a neural network is trained to predict the occurrence of storms. The neural network results are used to develop a probabilistic based convection indicator capable of outperforming existing convection indicators found in the literature. Lastly, applications of the neural network based indicator in an air traffic management setting are presented.
Sponsorship : financial support of the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities under grant RTI2018-098471-B-C32. The project has received funding from the SESAR Joint Undertaking within the framework of the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 891965.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11765/13023
ISSN: 2666-8270
Appears in Collections:Artículos científicos 2019-2021


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